I worry that he will be exposed on these Bermudagrass greens, but the recent form and price is too appealing to pass up. Hes one of the longest hitters off-the-tee and is showing improvements both on and around the putting surfaces. Plus, he has two top-10's in four outings at Riviera. Their names? AT&T Pebble Beach: Maverick McNealy. 3. Hence the extra consideration for SG: Around The Green. With the $20 million purse on the line . 2022 3M Open Fantasy golf expert picks Im has been in a rut for a few weeks, but Gates isn't hesitating to back the South Korean this week. If they fall, were really looking at a high-ceiling week. Poston in its best bets to win the 2022 John Deere. GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf. Dustin Johnson has hit 127 total drives over 300 yards at Pebble Beach Golf Links during this event. Sony Open: Gary Woodland. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. Up until the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, Griffin had made nine consecutive cuts with four top-30 finishes. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (CO/IL/IN/LA/MD/MI/NJ/PA/TN/WV/WY), 1-800-NEXT STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS/NH), 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), 1-800-BETS OFF (IA), visit OPGR.org (OR), or 1-888-532-3500(VA). About; Careers . Maybe the stage is too big for him over here. The Spaniard's improvement on and around the greens makes him a player without weakness. He got his first PGA Tour win five tournaments ago on a course with Bermuda greens as well. Meanwhile, the other two in the group haven't been able to find their footing multiple weeks in a row. How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf. (Subscribe for video or audio). Picks like these could be the difference between winning your PGA DFS contests or going home with nothing. Our betting panelwhich consists of a caddie reporting anonymously from PGA National; Pat Mayo of DraftKings and FantasyNational.com; Rick Gehman of RickRunGood.com; Andy Lack of RRG and his Inside Golf Podcast; Gdula and your two authorstends to run hot once one of us hits an outright. Obviously one round is a tiny sample size, so its best to embrace variance and find golfers who tend to get off to hot starts. Poston currently ranks 20th in greens in regulation percentage (73.89%) and 29th in driving accuracy percentage (66.20%), so confidently lock him in your PGA DFS lineups and look for a big return this week at the 2023 Sony Open. Short-iron specialists, regardless of distance, consistently perform the best on an annual basis at all three courses. Mayo won the 2022 Fantasy Sports Writing Association Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year and is a finalist for three FSWA Awards in 2023 (Best Podcast, Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year, Golf Writer of the Year). But since hes struggled in his return from injury were getting a nice discount on the Ryder Cupper off a 12th-place finish at Riviera. This mitigates the advantage of the premier drivers in the world, aka most of the elite players, and combined with a lack of elite golfers at the top end in this event, it has opened the door for long-shot winners. Zozo: Sungjae Im. Top-10 results from the Genesis Invitational: Mayo: 1 for 1 (Max Homa +220); Gdula: 1 for 1 (Patrick Cantlay +220); Lack: 1 for 1 (Patrick Cantlay +220); Powers: 1 for 1 (Collin Morikawa +210); Caddie: 0 for 1; Gehman: 0 for 1; Hennessey: 0 for 1, Top-10 results from this season: Gdula: 7 for 16 (up 18.6 units); Gehman: 5 for 16 (up 10.55 units); Lack: 3 for 7 (up 3.9 units); Mayo: 5 for 15 (up 3.1 units); Hennessey: 3 for 16 (down 0.45 units); Powers: 2 for 16 (down 7.9 units); Caddie: 2 for 16 (down 7.95 units), RELATED: Want to become a better golf bettor? To go along with four made cuts in five appearances at PGA National, Poston also possesses a strong resume on courses with lots of water that emphasize middle irons, with high finishes at TPC Twin Cities, TPC Sawgrass and TPC Southwind. 11:51 am ET, see the latest daily Fantasy golf picks, advice and player pool from SportsLine's Mike McClure, Head to SportsLine now to see his top daily Fantasy golf picks for the Sony Open 2023, Visit SportsLine now to see the complete PGA DFS player pool for FanDuel and DraftKings, all from the expert who's made over $2 million in daily Fantasy sports, How to watch 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Spieth among many chasing at Arnold Palmer Invitational, Tiger Woods opts to not play Players Championship, WATCH: Viktor Hovland drains ace at Arnold Palmer, Report: Pebble Beach will be designated event in 2024, Rahm leads (again) at Bay Hill after Round 1, PGA DFS: 2023 Sony Open picks, lineups, advice, Tiger Woods opts to skip 2023 Players Championship, Report: PGA Tour to reduce fields of designated events, Kirk breaks 8-year drought with emotional Honda win, Davis Love III enthused about golf's young stars. 1. Bermuda: Denny McCarthy. The ball-striking has been really good lately, and he can scramble and putt as well as anyone here, which can be clutch given how difficult of a test this can be. The 28-year-old leads the tour in scoring average and strokes gained total. At last week's Phoenix Open, four of the expert's top eight picks finished in the top 10, a group that included winner Scheffler. Thats all thats standing in the way of him and another multi-win season. The result marks Kirk's third top-three finish to begin the 2023 season. Hes got three top-10s to his name on tour since July without great form surrounding them. We use cookies and other tracking technologies to improve your browsing experience on our site, show personalized content and targeted ads, analyze site traffic, and understand where our audiences come from. He missed the cut at the Honda Classic last year but finished T-8 in 2021 and won in 2020. section: | slug: 2023-american-express-fantasy-golf-picks-lineups-advice-rankings-top-golf-expert-says-fade-jon-rahm | sport: golf | route: article_single.us | Here's who else is playing PGA Tour Watch tour pro. Each lineup consists of four starters and two bench players that can be rotated. From Mayo: Can Bubba fix his broken putter? Who should you back with your Fantasy golf picks? In his 50 most recent rounds, hes gained strokes in 72 percent of them with his irons and 76 percent from his ball-striking. May as well take another ride on the Kirk train, which will undoubtedly end like it always doeswith him ball-striking his way into contention and then failing to make anything inside of 10 feet on Sunday when he needs to. Powers, Golf Digest: Ben Griffin (+100) over Cameron Davis (DraftKings) Sneaky bullish this week on Ben Griffin, a North Carolina man through and through who does well on Bermuda and is a machine on approach. Now, the Genesis result wasnt pretty, but a deeper dive into his numbers shows an excellent ball-striking week submarined by weak chipping and outright disastrous putting. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop," where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy. Ben is an up-and-coming rookie who has played great this year including getting into contention a couple times. For years, we have offered weekly PGA Tour one-and-done golf picks, taking. Aside from the experts below, Fantasy Insider Rob Bolton breaks down the field at this year's The American Express in this week's edition of the. 2023 The Honda Classic: Field | Tournament Model | Rankings| Betting Odds and First Looks | Course History & Current Form | DFS Picks | First-Round Leader Picks | One and Done | Past Results | Cheat Sheet | PGA Tour Event History | Recent Form | Finish Database | Discord. From Rick Gehman, data scientist and RickRunGood.com founder: In DFS formats, making money is all about finding value. Thats the amount of fantasy points returned per dollar spent. 5. Hes among only 10 players to rank in the 75th percentile or better in all three tee-to-green stats over his past 100 rounds and at least the 50th percentile in putting. Hes been in the green on approach in five of the last six, and that pesky putter has shown brief glimpses of brilliance at the Sony Open and the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. Lack: JT Poston (-110) over Adam Svensson (DraftKings) Svensson is coming off a ninth-place finish at the Genesis and JT Poston is coming off a MC on the number, but results can be deceiving. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. Andy Lack is a PGA Tour writer and podcaster from New York City who now resides in Los Angeles. "He just keeps hanging around," Holliman says, "but he's rarely a true threat." Im confident that changes this week in Palm Beach. Poston. Mayo: Aaron Wise (22-1, DraftKings) Maybe hes actually priced properly, but even with the weak field, I cant bet him at a shorter price than I laid with Homa last week. Theres still plenty to be excited about, most notably the golf course itself, which makes the top players in the world look like those of us who chop it around and shoot 86 on the weekends. The golf expert has been on a roll on his picks since last season. His 27 FSWA nominations lead all writers this decade and are second-most all-time. Visit SportsLine now to get Jim Holliman's Fantasy golf rankings for the 2023 Genesis Invitational, all from the fantasy expert with his finger on the pulse of the game, and find out. Best of luck this week! This tournament has almost 20 percent of the world top 50, which isn't bad, but it's going to feel like a letdown after the last two weeks. Justin Thomas, Dustin Johnson, Russell Henley, Jon Rahm, Hideki Matsuyama and Xander Schauffele. From Gdula: This might be a name unfamiliar to some casual fans. While Cam Davis appears like hes hurt or is terrible now based on his past few outings. Gambling problem? See terms at draftkings.com/sportsbook. He tied for second at the Shriners earlier this season and shot 12 under on the weekend to surge to T-16 at the Sentry his last time out. It turned out to be at Sedgefield, where the 20-year-old won by five strokes. Hes reeled off four straight Top 25 finishes in this event and is one of the only players in the world who seems to have the ability to be the best or worst player in any field with his irons round-to-round. After that top end, it quickly drops into defending champ Tom Hoge, Seamus Power, Matt Kuchar, Justin Rose, Joel Dahmen, Mav McNealy, and Kevin Kisner. Sanderson Farms Championship: Denny McCarthy. Several of the world's top golfers come into this week's PGA Tour event in top form, and they should have little trouble scoring low in The American Express 2023. Tough scene. Who wins the 2023 Sony Open, and who are the top players to target for your Fantasy picks? McClure's optimal PGA DFS strategy also includes rostering Sungjae Im at $10,300 on DraftKings and $11,800 on FanDuel. 2023 The Honda Classic one and done picks. The Rocket Mortgage Classic Please also read our Privacy Notice and Terms of Use, which became effective December 20, 2019. Last season, he nailed the Tour Championship, saying Rory McIlroy was the only player capable of making up a six-stroke deficit to get past Scheffler. In the measured events on the circuit, hes been stout from tee-to-green and hasnt lost strokes putting since last summer. Caddie: Lee Hodges (+450, DraftKings) Lee is coming off a great performance at Riviera and like I mentioned earlier, these two courses are very similar in the ball-striking department. So what are the top PGA DFS picks for the 2023 Sony Open? Hoge was tied with Hossler and Putnam last year, Berger was T2, one stroke behind Spieth in 2021, and Phil Mickelson was three back of Paul Casey entering the final round in 2019. Fading Hideki. Sony Open: Hideki Matsuyama. Ball-strikers who can putt at even a field-average baseline can have value week in and week out. Shane Lowry: Lowry is hopefully getting on the right track again after a T-14 finish at Riviera. 21+ (19+ CA-ONT) (18+ NH/WY). This same model has also nailed a whopping eight majors entering the weekend. From Gdula: Munoz is one of the most balanced golfers in the world. That value ratio was third-best on tour, behind only Joel Dahmen and Ryan Palmer of all golfers with at least 20 starts. The result: Rahm finished on top of the leaderboard, securing his eighth PGA Tour title after shooting 27-under par. Three of the sharpest data scientists in golf, Brandon Gdula of numberFire/FanDuel; Rick Gehman of RickRunGood.com; and Pat Mayo of Mayo Media. The likes of Xander Schauffele, Patrick Cantlay and Will Zalatoris also are part of The American Express 2023 field that is among the best in the tournament's 63 years. He makes cuts, in spades. Gehman: Min Woo Lee (-110) over Matt Kuchar (Bet365) Golf is a global game and Min Woo Lee is crushing it right now. Now, he gets to tee it up against a beatable field at a course hes finished inside the top five at twice since 2018. It looked like the rest was needed based on the downtrend. Munoz is also 14th on tour over the past 100 rounds in Opportunities Gained, a FantasyNational stat that indicates birdie chances. Byeong Hun An (+550 = Top 20) After slotting at No. Watson lost strokes putting in 11 of his final 14 events. In addition, McClure's model is up over $9,500 on its best bets since June 2020, nailing tournament after tournament. Hes been on a heater with back-to-back top-three finishes before the MC in Phoenix. At Pebble Beach, six of Holliman's picks finished in the top 15, including champion Justin Rose and top-five finishers Denny McCarthy and Keith Mitchell. Kisner and Dahmen are making their first starts of 2023. Rick Gehman, data scientist and RickRunGood.com founder: Denny McCarthy (28-1, DraftKings) McCarthy has missed just one cut (Phoenix) in his last nine starts and has threatened the top of the board in Bermuda (T-6), Pebble Beach (T-4) and Genesis (T-14). Scanning through his five career international wins between the DP World and Challenge Tours, they all come on a combination of short, links and/or wind-affected tracks with his best U.S. finishes all coming at more difficult than average courses: TPC Southwind, Torrey Pines, St. Georges and The Concession. RELATED: Jon Rahms prescientand scaryquote. In fact, the 24-year-old enters this week's event ranked inside the top-25 in strokes gained: tee-to-green (1.079), strokes gained: off-the-tee (.824) and driving accuracy percentage (66.96%). But victories arent always the only barometer of success. That at least gives me hope for a few outlier weeks on the putting surfaces. Its quite strange, too, considering hed gained in seven of eight starts previous to the awful run. Routinely, they will point us to players who are undervaluedbased on their betting odds and fantasy salary prices. Ryan occasionally links to merchants of his choosing, and GNN may earn a commission from sales generated by those links. The Korn Ferry trademark is also a registered trademark, and is used in the Korn Ferry Tour logo with permission. He's been able to consistently find himself in the mix thanks to his impeccable accuracy. Gambling Problem? We missed out on him last year while he was figuring out his game on the Korn Ferry Tour, but now hes back and hes having himself a nice little year, starting with a top-five finish back in the Fall at the Fortinet and adding a pair of top-17 finishes in 11 starts since. You can see it at SportsLine. Of course, DFS golf is more popular than ever, which means its more competitive than ever, too. The PGA TOUR Experts league is once again open to the public. He is 131st in driving accuracy, and while he ranks seventh in greens in regulation, he is 120th in proximity to the hole. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: golf | pageType: stories | He's gaining a staggering 3.25 strokes per round over his. WMPO: Sungjae Im. Scheffler is the defending champion of this event, and he's finished T-12 or . AT&T Pebble Beach: Seamus Power. Before you lock in your PGA DFS picks for the 2023 Sony Open, you'll want to see the latest daily Fantasy golf picks, advice and player pool from SportsLine's Mike McClure. Brandon Gdula, FanDuel/numberFire managing editor: Aaron Wise (25-1, FanDuel) Wise has the right profile for a pop-up win. 9. Eligibility restrictions apply. While I am dubious on the 35-year-olds chances to raise the trophy, I expect him to find his way into contention this week in Palm Beach Gardens. He's been hanging around 30th place in his last four starts. Cantlay was in the top 40 in every strokes gained category last season, and he leads the tour in greens in regulation so far in this campaign. Torrey Pines is spilt between Poa and Bentgrass between the courses. Its actually incredible how Conners stacks up in the ball-striking department against the worlds elite. RSM Classic: Davis Riley. Probably not, but were all going to have to hold our nose and swallow on a few bad numbers this week. McNealy has long been on the verge of a breakthrough, and tends to do his best work on shorter courses with small greens. RELATED: 15 signs you watch too much golf on TV. Call 1-800-GAMBLER (PA/OH) or 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Especially at this course, one he hasnt turned up at since 2011, likely for the same reasons as all the other big-time players - its impossibly hard, theres water everywhere and it makes the worlds best look like us. Holliman has been a writer and editor for nearly 25 years and has been playing and following the game closely for more than three decades. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. Chris Kirk: Kirk missed the cut at Phoenix in somewhat surprising fashion, but I expect a bounceback. Gehman: Sungjae Im This is seemingly a no-brainer. Genesis: Justin Thomas. But, Pebble has been a happy spot for him over the years. Fantasy Insider Sleeper Picks: WM Phoenix Open Taylor Montgomery (+180 for a Top 20) Yeah, yeah, the. In 34 starts since the beginning of the 2018-19 season, Scheffler has lost strokes off the tee to the field only one time. Hes stumbled from tee-to-green recently, losing strokes to the field in four of his last seven measured events. Will Gordon: Will hasn't played in a few weeks, since WD'ing from Pebble. One of McClure's top PGA DFS picks for the 2023 Sony Open is J.T. My guy Joe Idone (@TourPicks on Twitter, go follow him if you dont already) is the king of the Honda Classic, and Denny is his guy hes picking Denny Dirt to break through this week, and Im completely on board. Hes also not worth stashing for a bigger event down the road. Each week hosts Christopher Powers, Alex Myers, and Steve Hennessey, along with special guests from across the sports and entertainment worlds, will touch on what's going in the game . You can only see who it is here. This guy seems to tear it up overseas on the DP World tour, but hasnt been able to catch his footing over here in the states. Being an Alabama alum, he is no stranger to golf in the south either. The golf expert has been on a roll on his picks since last season. Somewhere along the line, you need to be able to save a par or two to win an event. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Sahith Theegala. Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ/WV/PA/IL) or 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN only) or 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA only) or 1-800-522-4700 (CO Only) or TN REDLINE: 800-889-9789. 2 Scottie Scheffler and Jon Rahm. Head to SportsLine now to see his top daily Fantasy golf picks for the Sony Open 2023. Golfers I'm Definitely Playing Jon Rahm ($11,500 DraftKings | $12,200 FanDuel) Rahm is the best player in the world until further notice. He has not had a top-10 in 20 events, so this is clearly the "new caddie, new spark" feeling I got here. Denny McCarthy: McCarthy had a great showing against a strong field last week and could be trending toward that first PGA Tour win. WMPO: Scottie Scheffler. His putter has been lethal during the swing and into the new year, averaging almost +1.5 SG: PUTT over his past 20 rounds. Shot Link data is only available for Pebble Beach GL. Mayo helped create the golf stats and research website Fantasy National along with the Race for the Mayo Cup One and Done contest. Hello, Aaron Rai. Three-Putt Avoidance Birdies or Better Gained Without further ado, let's dig into my outright picks for the Scottish Open. RELATED: Golf One-and-Done 2020-'21 Guide: 9 tips for winning these popular yearlong contests. . How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf. While he had been struggling to find form earlier in the year, the 27-year-old has proven his ball-striking upside by gaining 2.1 strokes on approach in a world-class field last week at Riviera. The irons just arent what they used to be for him. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. Aside from the experts below, Fantasy Insider Rob Bolton breaks down the field at this year's The American Express in this week's edition of the Power Rankings. Schauffele (19-1), Zalatoris (19-1) and Tom Kim (20-1) are among the other notable contenders in The American Express 2023 field. Theres analysis you wont find anywhere else. He is coming off a top-10 last week at Riv, which plays very similarly to here with the ball-strikers finishing on top. And last week, bargain pick Matt Kuchar ($7,900) posted a top-10 finish and two more picks were in the top 15. I like Adam this week for numerous reasons. 6-keys: media/spln/golf/reg/free/stories, at Hennessey, Golf Digest: Chris Kirk (+330, DraftKings) The former Georgia Bulldog drives it so dang straight, which is an absolute weapon at PGA National. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: golf | pageType: stories | Hes a good tee-to-green golfer with the ability to pick up distance whenever possible, and the putter can get hot. Shriners: Emiliano Grillo. This golfer is on a roll lately, finishing in the top 15 in three straight tournaments. He was as good as Bryson, Rahm and Rory with the driver and experienced one of his best iron runs of his career.
