Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. Every beginning Is only a sequel, after all, and the book of events is always open halfway through. It has over 40,000 names organized into different categories, including Unisex, Boys Names, and Girls Names. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same numberfor example, 550,343,279,001., A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. The good news is that the fee is only $10 per class 10-20x cheaper than therapy, and probably more effective. They each roll the diceand they all come up the exact same numbersay, 550,343,279,001. This is a vastly greater improbability than one in 1050. Here's Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Opportunity - livebendy.com Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. Scott and Janice Huse, in their 1997 book The Collapse of Evolution, state that It is very significant to note that mathematicians generally consider that any event with a probability of one chance [in] 10^50 as having a zero probability (i.e. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about 1 in 10. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. Dr. Ali Binazir Specializes In Dating/Being Single Support, Empowering Women, NLP, Phobias/OCD And Wellness And Is Located In San Francisco, CA. it is impossible)., The astronomer Sir Fred Hoyle illustrated this with his Junkyard Tornado Theory: The chance that higher life forms might have emerged in this way is comparable to the chance that a tornado sweeping through a junkyard might assemble a Boeing 747 from the materials therein.. Lets say its a fly that moves at about 4 mph. On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. Essentially, what Borel said was that any event with a honking big (a technical term used by mathematicians) level of improbability would never happen. The chances that they would then get knocked up? Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. But even if you dont believe in that, the science is enough. How fast does a laden fly fly? One of my brothers made his own calculation regarding one of Binazirs assumptions and came up with a figure that would make the probability of existence even smaller: My numbers are more simplistic, but assuming 100,000 eggs/woman & 12 trillion sperm/man creates 1.2 x 10^18 combinations for every man/woman pairing (i.e., significantly more combinations than the 400 trillion or 4 x 10^14 mentioned in the article). The learned professor was actually pulling everyones legs, but Littlewoods Law has been conscripted as proof of a number of strange theories. The answer, if my math is right, (assuming a mass of the moon of 7.34 x 10^22 kg), is about 7.34 x 10^34 years. I believe The Source who I call God loves us infinitely, unimaginably. As you aptly point out, many persons losts lots of money at the roulette because they quests mathematically accurate. Harvard alumnus and creativity consultant Dr. Ali Binazir tried to calculate the mind-boggling odds of one being born into existence on earth, and came up with interesting results. If there is only one outcome then the probability is 1/1=1. The right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents; otherwise theyd be different people and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. The odds of becoming a millionaire in America are between 6.4% to 22.3% according to data from the Federal Reserve Boards Survey of Consumer Finances. Theologically, of course, we are no accident; we do not exist by happenstance. That is incredibly unlikely to the point of impossible. Binazir concludes that the odds of you being alive are . If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 3.409108 square kilometers, or 340,900,000 km2 (131.6 million square miles, for those benighted souls who still cling to user-hostile British measures). mitchell henry obituary; housing authority rome, ga; tom brady personality traits; can you drive from glacier national park to banff; why did they replace bertha in fred This button displays the currently selected search type. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. 7 distinct works Similar authors. dr ali binazir odds of being born - mashroubs.com One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Here it should be realize it is a quest work. Part of HuffPost Wellness. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at Harvard, received a medical degree from the University of California, and studied philosophy at Cambridge University. I would caution anyone from drawing a religiously-minded conclusion from these probabilities and heres why: While the probability of any one of us existing is very low, the probability that 350 million humans existing in the United States is very high. That's a pretty straightforward calculation. dr ali binazir odds of being born. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. Dr. Ali Binazir - Something To Prove Regardless of your skin color, country of origin, body size, religion, gender, or view point, WE ALREADY MADE IT HERE. So, thats 28,800 events a day, adding up to a million in 35 days. Similarly, Dr. Ali Binazir, in his article for The Huffington Post, has a clever calculation that resulted in his estimate that the probability of being born is 1 in 10 2,685,000 . So what's the probability of your being born? In fact, He has been preparing a place for each of us in the kingdom, from before the creation of the world. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. Miebakagh Fiberesima from Port Harcourt, Rivers State, NIGERIA. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. Are You a Miracle? Step 2. HubPages is a registered trademark of The Arena Platform, Inc. Other product and company names shown may be trademarks of their respective owners. Be True to YOU (there is no one else like you, if there was they would have been born and not you), Odds of Being Born Infographic by Designer Sofya Yampolsky. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. You have lived your life. June 24, 2022 . Step 4. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. On one try. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe its larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. Lets say we have a insect thatmirabile dictuwe can send to the moon. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age, going back about 150,000 generations to the origin of man. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. Lets say a third of those (4 trillion or 4 x 10, So, the chance of your particular chain of ancestors having remained unbroken for all that time would be 1 in 2, To account for all 150,000 generations, we raise 400 quadrillion to the 150,000, Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 10, This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. So what's the probability of your being born? The odds of being murdered are relatively low when compared to other possible causes of death. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a farfetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists. So, who better to explain probability theory than someone who is a complete duffer at mathematics? Ali Binazir | Armchair Economist I met a couple of interesting people at a casual meet-up and the topic of the day was a good life. One number that is tossed about a lot is that the odds against your being born are one in 400 trillion. So, round-trip time works out to be about 14 yearsfor the fly to go to the moon and back. Heres how the National Center for Science Education puts it: Any event with a probability greater than 0, no matter how low, will be likely to happen if given enough opportunity, and sure to happen if opportunity is unlimited., Michele Caballero Siamitras Kassube on Pixabay. Its the probability of 2 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. You Shouldn't Be Alive. The Odds of You Existing Are Basically | by (+ My podcast interview on raising your spirits), Staying Sane in Trying Times Seminars, Apr 22-25, WED FEB 19: The 5 Magic Questions What 5000 Womens Letters Reveal About Love & Dating, How often should you call him? He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Same to all of us. Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 102,685,000. dr ali binazir odds of being born 2022-06-25T04:47:45+00:00 And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: 1 in 1045,000. For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. (Just dont blow up your car trying to have the exhaust be blue smoke like I saw on that viral video, or set any forests on fire, lets keep it safe, kids.). Dr. Ali Binazir took it further. Gamblers always play the odds; their lives revolve around probabilities, and that has led many into dark places. Dr Ali Binazir, Contributor Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing Jun 16, 2011, 03:58 PM EDT | Updated Aug 16, 2011 This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. If I had 400 trillion pennies to my name, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. The Zen philosopher, Basho, once wrote, A flute with no holes, is not a flute. Want to Read. Why? But let's think about this some more. The odds of red or black are 50:50 with each spin of the wheel. The fact is, you have a monumentally better chance of becoming anybody you want to be than of even being at all. Lets say the fly takes a brief respite of one million years between trips. Based on the data from the CDC . 2019 Ali Binazir, M.D., M.Phil, All Rights Reserved. A fertile woman has about 100,000 viable eggs while a man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. In 1943, the distinguished French mathematician mile Borel developed a law about probabilities that stated events with a sufficiently small probability never occur (Institute of Mathematical Statistics). You may quibble with some of the Binazirs assumptions above. The perfect deal in bridge is that each player receives all the cards in one suit. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are., Buddhists have talked of the preciousness of this incarnation. Are You Totally Improbable Or Totally Inevitable? That is the reason the majority dislike games, lotto, and sports beting. God has always known us, intended us, loved us, and planned for us. It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. We were not born by accident given the odds calculated by scientists showing the odds of you being born are at least 1 in 400 trillion IF NOT 1 in 400 quadrillion and most likely 1 in 10.2,640,000. The only know outcome is that you were born to your particular parents. His reasoning being that each person experiences an event of some sort every second. -- from "Love at First Sight", Wislawa Szymborska, The End and The Beginning, 1993. This is the probability of you being born at the time you were born to your particular parents, with your particular genetic make-up. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? You are wonderfully and fearfully made, and God has done a marvelous thing. He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. : A definitive guide for smart women, How to Get Guys: The 6.5 Dating Phases of Men. He says its similar to the probability of a turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere random in the oceans on Earth. We do not only have common English names, but also uncommon ones that have unique origins and meanings. Blog Home Uncategorized dr ali binazir odds of being born. *wink wink* Well, hello thereBom chicka wow wowits: The chance of every one of your ancestors outrunning dinosaurs, disease, war and pestilence to live to reproductive age and reproduce successfully is one in 10. "It is a part of probability that many improbable things will happen.. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. This is similar to the probability of any one star turning super-nova. I would call that a personal relationship with God. By all accounts, you shouldnt even be here. It was always likely that a living cell would jump out of that primordial soup because the conditions for that to happen must have existed somewhere; and, probably, in several somewheres. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. What Does Jesus Mean When He Says We Must Be Salted with Fire. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001.. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. He assumes each person is alert and awake for eight hours a day (this allows for downtime watching reality TV shows when the human brain is entirely inactive). Do you know the odds of being alive? If you need to flag this entry as abusive. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? The learned Frenchman put a number on it10 to the power of 50, written as 1050in order to impress upon the common herd that its members are not mathematicians. Thats a pretty big number, I thought to myself. The odds of being born - Lottoland Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. By that definition, I've just proven that you are a miracle. A donut with no hole, is a Danish. The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough Course- Work With Me. Thats a pretty straightforward calculation. Some of the numbers are approximations, but generally they are on the conservative side. Are You a Miracle? On the Probability of Your Being Born On the Probability of Your Being Born.. Now things start getting interesting. I hope you use your chance well. The Art of Female Orgasm: Tue 21 June teleseminar with Nicole Daedone, Dating App-ocalypse: 10 Reasons to Delete Your Dating Apps Right Now, How can I best serve you? Thank you, Monsignor. Dr. Ali Binazir illustrates the extremely unlikely chain of events that would have to occur in order for you to be born with this . Which one's bigger? The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. Probability is a pure odd. That probability is low but the presence of super-novae throughout the cosmos is not. This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. Borels Law says such a number means something is impossible, and yet, its not. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? what are the chances of being born in america So beginning with your folks, your odds of you being born come out to 1 in 400,000,000,000,000,000 or 1 in 4 quadrillion. I bet the odds of becoming a millionaire in Zambia, where I lived for one year, is less than 1%. Dr Ali Binazir is the author of the 'The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible', the highest-rated dating book on Amazon.co. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. You asked for more Brain Yoga, so here are the upcoming classes. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. Then the probability of Mr. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: 1 in 400 quadrillion. This includes personalizing content and advertising. So now we must account for that for 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000th power: Thats a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes of a book the size of mine with zeroes. Were we meant to be, each and every one of us? This book will rapidly bring you up to speed on epidemiology and pandemic management. Because were about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. Step 4. Also follow me on Instagram @RecovHer and visit my RecovHer YouTube Channel for more sober tools and tips. Yes, it is clear the 'opportunity' of born is complete chance and luck. dr ali binazir odds of being born Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. In 1913, at the roulette wheel at the Casino de Monte-Carlo, the ball dropped into a black slot 26 times in succession. If you assume there are 3 billion women and 3 billion men alive today, that means 3 x 10^14 eggs and 3.6 x 10^22 sperm are currently on the planet, for a total of 1.1 x 10^37 possible pairings. There were doorknobs and doorbells where one touch had covered another beforehand. "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. Maybe that one would have been better. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. As Borel pointed out such an event was so improbable as to be impossible. Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). decision by design review farnam street; dr ali binazir odds of being born; post mortem fingerprint equipment. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Its almost too big to process, just know that the odds that you exist at all are basically zero. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? xx, Lets be social! Step 3. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, "The answer is 500 squintillion," we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. dr ali binazir odds of being born jeffrey dahmer museum milwaukee I'm Heidi, I'm a writer, a mama and a sober recovery teacher/mentor. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. The Odds of You Being You - linkedin.com They each roll the dice -- and they all come up the exact same number -- say, 550,343,279,001. In other words, as this infographic figures it,. Take a second and think about that, and put a smile on your face, you fucking miracle you. To say that someone or something is contingent is to say that the existence of same is not inevitable but rather can only come about based on a number of previous things being true in a chain of being or causality. This is also true of your grandparents parents, and their grandparents, and so on till the beginning of time. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million dollar lottery 9 times over your life again than you would have being born. The Cycle of Hatred and Revenge Ends With Me A Homily for the 7th Sunday of the Year. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazir's Article on Probability of Being Born Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. Popes point: that we are not accidents, that God chose to create you and [me]. No need for caution about drawing any conclusion other that the one he quite explicitly drew. Or are we glorious accidents, each and every one? The chances of that turning into another meeting is about 1 in 10. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazirs article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. Hello there! Youre not just one in a million, youre one in a 102,685,000. Dr. Ali Binazir - Author - San Francisco, CA | YourTango Experts But let's think about this some more. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. For the sake of completeness: (102,640,000)(1045,000)(2000)(20,000) = 4x 102,685,007 102,685,000, Probability of your existing at all: 1 in 102,685,000. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. You are also agreeing to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. The first single-cell organism emerging from an inanimate chemical soup is not something that could have happened by chance. How do you deal with a confirmed bachelor?, 9 Reasons Why Men Lose Interest and What You Can Do About It. Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. A lovely day to you. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? dr ali binazir odds of being born - manoharinternational.com enough to delve into higher mathematics discover there are many tripwires ahead of them. Your email address will not be published. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. However, as the astute who do exist will have observed, extremely improbable events do actually occur. Or are we some mysterious combination of impossible and inevitable? The chances of your specific sperm meeting your specific egg? Borels Law is about the probability of events occurring. Step 3. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. Yet here we are. Are they gross exaggerations? The analogy given by Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of YOU being born is here: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion.
